September 20, 2012

Michael Burry Video: Investing in Farmland, Real Estate, Gold



The Top Investments and Best Investments for 2012 Buy Stocks, Buy Shares, How to Invest - Michael Burry, the former head of Scion Capital LLC who predicted the housing market's plunge, talks with Bloomberg's Jon Erlichman about his investments in agricultural land, real estate and gold.

Michael Burry is founder of the Scion Capital LLC hedge fund, which he ran from 2000 until 2008, when he closed the fund to focus on his own personal investments. Author Michael Lewis profiled him in his 2010 book The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine.

June 25, 2012

Dr. Michael "The Big Short" Burry's "Brutal Hangover Is Inevitable" State-Of-The-World UCLA Commencement Speech




Infamous for his prediction of the great recession, Europe's demise, and the collapse of the US financial system (as well as profiting extremely handsomely from said predictions), so well captured in Michael Lewis' book "The Big Short", UCLA's Dr. Michael Burry undertakes UCLA's Economics Department's commencement speech with much aplomb. In this "age of infinite distraction", the astounding truthiness of this 15 minute speech is stunning from single-sentence summation of Europe's convulsions that "when the entitled elect themselves, the party accelerates, and the brutal hangover is inevitable" he reminds us that Californians, and indeed all Americans, should take note. A quarter-of-an-hour well spent from a self-described 'chicken-little' who was "just trying to figure it all out".
Source: Zerohedge

Michael Burry is founder of the Scion Capital LLC hedge fund, which he ran from 2000 until 2008, when he closed the fund to focus on his own personal investments. Author Michael Lewis profiled him in his 2010 book The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine.

June 06, 2012

More wisdom from Michael Burry

As you remember Michael Burry started his investment career as a poster on a message board about stocks. In the beginning he preferred to run an ultra-concentrated portfolio with only 4 to 6 stocks. Later Burry has changed his mind and targeted a more diversified portfolio of 9-10 stocks. After sometime he has evolved the way he thinks about diversification. He held up to 18 positions and said that “If anything that Buffett’s done can be said to have hurt value investors, IMO it’s his witticisms regarding diversification as a weapon of the ignorant or lazy.” Michael Burry said that because he could not handle the high level of volatility that comes from ultra-concentrated portfolio holdings. Guess what the volatility is when you have 4-6 positions and 2 or 3 goes down big way? He goes to say that he still outperform the market with a portfolio of 15 stocks so it’s better to diversify.

It is interesting to point out that Michael criticizing Buffett’s stance on diversification at a time when he himself is holding 15 positions. I believe that Buffett’s criticisms of over diversification are aimed at the closet indexers that do nothing to separate themselves from the market. While changing his believe that 4-6 stocks is the optimal diversification to believing that ~15 positions is the optimal mix in just about two years is a huge move. Still a portfolio of 15 positions today is considered as conservative. So the advice about do not do over-diversification is still active today.

Michael Burry’s investment approach is really complex and changing. He relies mainly on relative valuation, technical analysis and other rules that help him to sell or buy and make the decisions with no respect toward the tax efficiency and turnover.

Michael Burry is founder of the Scion Capital LLC hedge fund, which he ran from 2000 until 2008, when he closed the fund to focus on his own personal investments. Author Michael Lewis profiled him in his 2010 book The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine.